The hard-fought passage here Tuesday of a landmark bill trimming retirement benefits
for state workers, aimed at fixing the vastly underfunded pension
system, has become instantly relevant to the nation’s third-largest
city, which has its own pension systems in various stages of financial
collapse.
And if anything, the reckoning in Chicago is even nearer and more
difficult than the one the state had faced, putting its Democratic
mayor, Rahm Emanuel, in a difficult position under a tight deadline.
Under state law, the city must increase its contributions to its
workers’ pension funds by $590 million in 2015, to a total annual
contribution of $1.4 billion for current and future retirees. If no
pension deal can be reached by November of next year, when the city will
draft its next budget, the city will either have to raise taxes or cut
services or some combination of both.
But city officials are hoping there is now momentum on their side to
force a compromise solution. They come armed not only with Tuesday’s
state vote but also with a federal judge’s ruling,
also on Tuesday, to formally send Detroit into bankruptcy. Chicago is
not facing bankruptcy, but the Detroit case produced a development being
watched closely by cities and unions across the country: It explicitly
permitted changes to public pension funds to help the city shed its
debts and reorganize.
“Should Chicago fail to get pension relief soon, we will be faced with a
2015 budget that will either double city property taxes or eliminate
the vital services that people rely on,” Mr. Emanuel said in an email on
Wednesday. “To avoid that, we need a balanced approach. We need a plan
that is fair to both workers and taxpayers, and gives them both the
certainty and security they are looking for.”
Pension changes must be part of the calculus, he said.
“Without reform and revenue, we cannot make the critical investments in
our future — and the future of our children and neighborhoods,” the
mayor wrote. “Without reform and revenue, we cannot be the city that we
want to be.”
One credit rating agency,
Fitch Ratings, estimated that if there is no deal to reduce pension
benefits for city workers and no cuts in services, the city will have to
increase property taxes by 35 percent.
Actually, the situation is even worse, said Laurence Msall, president of the Civic Federation,
a government watchdog group. The Fitch study looked only at police and
firefighter pensions. If you include pensions for teachers, laborers and
other municipal employees, property taxes in that situation would have
to more than double, he said.
Angry union officials say they will file suit in state court in coming
days to have the new state law overturned, a process that could last
more than a year, and they argue that no further deals involving the
more than 62,000 Chicago workers should be enacted until that litigation
plays out. City officials say they cannot wait that long.
“There’s a definite hole in the budget, and neither taxpayers or
employees should be expected to fill it alone,” said Kelley Quinn, a
spokeswoman for the mayor. “The longer we delay, the worse the problem
gets.”
Union leaders are not in such a rush.
“There certainly seems to be a will to address Chicago’s pensions, and
obviously the mayor is pushing that vigorously,” said Daniel J.
Montgomery, president of the Illinois Federation of Teachers. “But if
they are looking to duplicate what they did to the state systems,
they’ve got a few legal hurdles.”
For one thing, he said, the Illinois Constitution has “very clear and
precise language” that guarantees that retirement benefits cannot be
lowered. The ruling on Tuesday by the judge overseeing Detroit’s
bankruptcy that federal law trumps the Michigan Constitution when it
comes to lowering benefits does not apply in Illinois, Mr. Montgomery
said.
“The City of Chicago is not bankrupt,” he said. “It is an entirely different situation.”
Michael K. Shields, president of Chicago’s Fraternal Order of Police,
said there was no way to compare the new state bill with the situation
faced by his members. “This pension bill is not one size fits all,” he
said.
He pointed out that much of the benefit cuts in the state law came from
changes in the way annual cost-of-living raises are dispensed. While
state workers received annual raises of 3 percent that compounded every
year, Chicago police officers and firefighters receive a flat 3 percent
raise that does not compound. So more benefit cuts would have to be
found elsewhere for those city workers.
Other union leaders were even more blunt.
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